Utah reports 12,564 new COVID-19 cases. Is the state reaching its omicron peak?

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Utah could also be nearing its peak within the omicron surge that’s pushed coronavirus case counts to their highest degree on file. However state well being consultants mentioned Wednesday it’s arduous to know for positive.

In areas that noticed early omicron surges — together with New York, Rhode Island, South Africa and Nice Britain — case counts began to development downward after a interval of about three weeks, mentioned Erin Clouse, College of Utah Well being’s strategic engagement supervisor.

“In Utah, we’ve seen about 20 days of regular will increase in instances,” Clouse mentioned Wednesday, “so there could also be some hope on the horizon that case counts might begin to come down quickly.”

Nevertheless, areas the place the omicron variant’s unfold seems to be waning all have populations with “a lot greater vaccination charges,” cautioned Dr. Andrew Pavia, chief of the division of pediatric infectious ailments at U. of U. Well being.

“We don’t have any good knowledge but on a poorly vaccinated inhabitants,” Pavia continued. “And the inhabitants of Utah just isn’t properly vaccinated.”

Based on the Utah Division of Well being, 59% of the state’s inhabitants is absolutely vaccinated.

Pavia additionally urged warning as a result of Utah has “maxed out” its testing capability. State leaders together with Gov. Spencer Cox on Friday suggested most Utahns to not get examined for COVID-19, citing restricted testing provides, although state epidemiologist Dr. Leisha Nolen famous older individuals and people with underlying circumstances ought to nonetheless get examined.

“So the case numbers might not be as correct an indicator as we would like them to be,” Pavia mentioned Wednesday.

The Well being Division on Wednesday reported 12,564 new coronavirus instances. That’s the third-highest day by day case depend for the reason that pandemic started, and it marked the seventh time up to now 9 days {that a} day by day tally has exceeded 10,000 instances. (The file excessive was earlier than final week was 4,706 in December 2020.)

The rolling seven-day common of latest instances continues to rise, reaching an all-time excessive Wednesday of 10,967. Earlier than final week, the best that determine had ever been was 3,392, reported in November 2020.

Dr. Andrew Vinik, the chief medical operations officer at U. of U. Well being, on Wednesday additionally famous there could also be a excessive prevalence of asymptomatic instances in Utah.

“Final week, we’re at about 12 %,” he mentioned, which means that “one in eight individuals that you simply would possibly come throughout in any given day possible has COVID and doesn’t even know.”

Pavia on Wednesday mentioned the College of Utah Hospital was at 100% capability “regardless of us reducing again on non-time-sensitive procedures.”

“And so sufferers are struggling. … Why? As a result of now we have so many sufferers that want care and we’ve bought much less employees,” he mentioned.

Pavia famous greater than 80% of the individuals within the hospital proper now, together with youngsters, are unvaccinated. “Vaccination may forestall loads of these hospitalizations,” he mentioned.

Statewide, hospitals stay close to capability, and the variety of presently hospitalized COVID-19 sufferers — 715 — is the best it’s been for the reason that pandemic started. Earlier than final week, the best hospitalization depend on a single day was 606 sufferers in December 2020.

At the moment, extra sufferers required intensive care: 213, versus the 202 sufferers with COVID-19 in Utah’s ICUs as of Wednesday. However hospital staffing is tighter now than it was in 2020, Utah hospital directors have mentioned.

ICUs within the state’s bigger, “referral” hospitals at the moment are at 92.1% capability — above the 85% threshold that hospital directors have mentioned is critical to go away room for unpredictable staffing ranges, new sufferers and availability of specialised tools and personnel.

Statewide, 88.7% of all ICU beds are stuffed. The well being division on Wednesday additionally reported 18 extra COVID-19 deaths.

“What we learn about omicron is that it’s rather more infectious,” Pavia mentioned Wednesday. Its unfold is “having an affect on us,” he continued. “On you and me. On the well being care system. On police, fireplace, emergency companies. On stocking of grocery shops and clearing of streets, in contrast to something we’ve seen all through the pandemic.”

“So we actually shouldn’t have any sense that this, as a result of it’s a little bit much less extreme, just isn’t inflicting huge disruption,” he mentioned.

Youngsters in grades Ok-12 accounted for 2,330 of the brand new instances introduced Wednesday — 18.5% of the whole. There have been 887 instances reported in youngsters aged 5-10; 552 instances in youngsters 11-13; and 891 instances in youngsters 14-18.

The variety of youngsters getting vaccinated continues to climb: 110,555 youngsters ages 5-11 have acquired at the very least one dose since they turned eligible. That’s 30.3% of children that age in Utah, in accordance with the well being division. And 77,582 of these youngsters have been absolutely vaccinated — 21.3% of that age group.

Discover the place to get vaccinated at coronavirus.utah.gov/vaccine-distribution.

Discover the place to get examined at coronavirus.utah.gov/utah-covid-19-testing-locations.

Breakdown of up to date figures

Vaccine doses administered up to now 4 days/complete doses administered • 7,381 / 4,730,613.

Variety of Utahns absolutely vaccinated • 1,932,018 — 59% of Utah’s complete inhabitants. That is a rise of 1,360 up to now day.

Circumstances reported up to now day • 12,564.

Vaccination standing • Well being officers don’t instantly have or launch the vaccination standing of people who take a look at constructive, who’re hospitalized, or who die. They do calculate the general danger ratios of those outcomes relying on vaccination standing, which is listed under.

Exams reported up to now day • 21,616 individuals had been examined for the primary time. A complete of 45,029 individuals had been examined.

Deaths reported up to now 4 days • 18.

There have been 5 deaths in Salt Lake County — a person and a girl between the ages of 45-64, a person and a girl 65-84, and a girl 85 or older.

Weber County reported 4 deaths — three males 65-84, and a person 85 or older.

There have been three deaths in Utah County — a person and a girl 65-84, and a person 85 or older. There have been additionally three deaths in Weber County — a person and a girl 65-84, and a person 85 or older.

And three counties every reported a single loss of life — a Cache County girl 65-84; a Davis County man 85 or older; and a Uintah County girl 65-84.

Utahns presently hospitalized with COVID-19 • 715 That’s 34 greater than reported on Monday. Of these presently hospitalized, 190 are in intensive care — eight greater than reported on Monday.

Proportion of constructive assessments • Below the state’s authentic methodology, the speed is 51.1% up to now day. That’s greater than the seven-day common of 41.6%.

The state’s new methodology counts all take a look at outcomes, together with repeated assessments of the identical particular person. Wednesday’s charge was 26.4%, greater than the seven-day common of 29.2%.

[Read more: Utah is changing how it measures the rate of positive COVID-19 tests. Here’s what that means.]

Danger ratios • Prior to now 4 weeks, unvaccinated Utahns had been 12.5 occasions as prone to die of COVID-19 as vaccinated individuals had been, in accordance with a Utah Division of Well being evaluation. The unvaccinated additionally had been six occasions as prone to be hospitalized, and a couple of.3 occasions as prone to take a look at constructive for the coronavirus.

Totals so far • 802,780 instances; 3,997 deaths; 29,649 hospitalizations; 4,633,563 individuals examined.

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