Good morning, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (considerably common) Covid-19 information dump.
Hospitalizatons, recorded infections and positivity charges proceed to climb, as R Quantity fashions stay static. The excellent news, and motive for the query mark is that present wastewater measures have leveled or declined a bit.
Whether or not or not this surge (swell, wave, bump) begins to say no there’s much more covid on the close to horizon, as new, extra transmissible sub-variants take maintain. Might this be why the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention has begun to urge a second booster? Nonetheless, true to type, on the identical time the CDC worries that updating the vaccine may send the wrong message. Will we now have have a brand new vaccine in time for subsequent winter’s surge? Not if Congress has its means.
One country is not waiting to verify the hospitalization numbers earlier than making preparations.
The argument that “case numbers don’t matter” might make us really feel much less anxious, however logically it is senseless as lengthy covid, hospitalizations, and dying start with an infection and uncontrolled transmission means extra variants with potential to flee The Vaccine and different “instruments”.
Talking of lengthy covid, we nonetheless know subsequent to nothing about it though it seems to be affecting a large variety of these contaminated (even when asymptomatic). Most instances level to no particular trigger.
I hardly ever learn or see any of the skilled celebrities speaking about well being care employees and the dire circumstances that existed in hospitals when the pandemic struck. Although “official” inquiries have but to start right here or in Britain, the British Medical Affiliation has begun its personal overview. This text focuses on the dearth of private protecting tools. “Deficiencies in PPE (private protecting tools) both by means of shortages, being of incorrect sort or poorly becoming, was a phenomenon generally reported by medical doctors throughout the board in the course of the first weeks of the pandemic.” It was no completely different at house the place hospitals prefered to guard their revenue margins. What has been achieved to appropriate this drawback? The CDC, and superstar specialists don’t have anything to say.
Paxlovid, one of many “instruments” we now have to manage the virus, has a rebound effect which is getting extra consideration recently. Surprisingly, the rebound impact didn’t present up in Pfizer’s medical trials, and apparently the corporate gained’t launch extra tablets for any extra analysis.
These who promote the “tools” don’t point out the rebound impact and appear to overlook air flow and isolation help solely. Among the best methods to manage an infection is thru air flow of indoor house. This text gives some ideas which might work when you’ve got sufficient house, or the cash to put in the tools.
Due to a remark from one among our readers, Mission Native will comply with up with extra studies on the disabled and immunocompromised.
Scroll down for at this time’s covid numbers.
Over the previous week, hospitalizations rose one other 37 p.c (representing 24 new sufferers). On Could 21, DPH studies there have been 89 covid hospitalizations, or about 10.2 covid hospitalizations per 100,000 residents (based mostly on an 874,000 inhabitants). Though ICU sufferers rose to double figures in the course of the week, on Could 21, the determine was again in single digits. On Could 21, the California Division of Public Well being reported 94 covid sufferers in SF hospitals and 9 ICU sufferers. Although the case depend is (in all probability) a lot better than the winter of 2021, hospitalizations and deaths are noticeably decrease. Have these sufferers been hospitalized “for” covid, or “with” covid? Are they vaccinated. How previous are they? What’s their race/ethnicity/socio financial standing? Though most severe public well being companies have lengthy been publishing these figures, San Francisco’s Division of Public Well being (and California’s) have but to determine it out. We’re working to enhance the graph.
The most recent report from the federal Division of Well being and Human Companies exhibits Zuckerberg San Francisco Common Hospital with 8 covid sufferers and 6 ICU beds obtainable, whereas throughout the Mission, CPMC had 10 covid sufferers and 6 ICU beds obtainable. Of 79 reported covid sufferers within the Metropolis, 23 had been at both SFGH or UCSF, with a minimum of 74 ICU beds obtainable amongst reporting hospitals (which doesn’t embody the Veterans Administration or Laguna Honda). The California DPH at present studies 83 ICU beds obtainable in San Francisco.
Between March 21 and Could 20, DPH recorded 992 new infections amongst Mission residents (a rise of 27 p.c from final week) or 169 new infections per 10,000 residents. Throughout that interval, Mission Bay had the very best fee at 291 new infections per 10,000 residents. Of 38 neighborhoods, 29 had charges above 150 per 10,000 residents, with 14 within the east and southeast sectors of the Metropolis. Treasure Island had the bottom fee and Lakeshore, the one neighborhood within the Metropolis with lower than 50 p.c of its inhabitants vaccinated, had the second lowest fee.
DPH studies on Could 17, the 7-day common of day by day new infections recorded within the Metropolis rose to 475 or roughly 54.3 new infections per 100,000 residents (based mostly on an 874,000 inhabitants), representing a 13.7 p.c rise from final week. In keeping with DPH, the 7-day common an infection fee amongst vaccinated residents was 50.6 per 100,000 “absolutely vaccinated” residents and 114.1 per 100,000 unvaccinated residents. It’s unclear whether or not “absolutely vaccinated” means 2, 3 or 4 doses. In keeping with the New York Instances the 7-day common quantity on Could 17 was 503. The most recent report from the Instances says the 7-day common on Could 24 was 569, a 54 p.c rise over the previous two weeks. State wastewater monitoring exhibits on the Metropolis’s Southeast sewer shed, prevalence of the virus is both flattening or lowering relying on the supply and what’s being measured.
In Could, Asians have 2,658 new recorded infections or 29.8 p.c of the month’s instances thus far; White 2,301 infections or 25.8 p.c; Latinxs 1,032 infections or 11.6 p.c; Blacks 312 infections or 3.5 p.c; Multi-racials 65 infections or .7 p.c; Pacific Islanders 51 infections or .6 p.c; and Native People had 23 recorded infections or .3 p.c of the Could totals thus far.
The 7-day rolling Citywide common positivity fee rose over 11.8 p.c in the course of the previous week, whereas common day by day testing dropped 9.6 p.c. In Could, Native People have a positivity fee of 13 p.c thus far, Asians 11.6 p.c, Latinxs 10 p.c, Multi-racials 9.9 p.c, Whites 9.6 p.c, Pacific Islanders 9.2 p.c, and thus far this month, Blacks have a positivity fee of 8 p.c.
Vaccination charges in SF present just about no change from final week. As of Could 24, over 90 p.c of all San Franciscans aged 5 and older have obtained a minimum of one dose of The Vaccine, and 88 p.c have obtained two. 75 p.c of residents aged 12 and over have obtained a booster.
For info on the place to get vaccinated in and across the Mission, go to our Vaccination Web page.
4 new covid-related deaths, together with 3 extra in Could, have been reported, bringing the overall because the starting of the 12 months to 182. DPH gained’t say what number of had been vaccinated. Nor does it present info on the race/ethnicity or socio-economic standing of those that have lately died. In keeping with DPH “COVID-19 deaths are suspected to be related to COVID-19. This implies COVID-19 is listed as a reason for dying or important situation on the dying certificates.” Utilizing a phrase like “suspected to be related to” signifies the problem in figuring out a covid dying. The fog will get denser as DPH studies, because it has for months, solely 21 of the deaths are identified to have had no underlying circumstances, or comorbidities. DPH solely provides cumulative figures on deaths. It seems from their figures, little or no has modified because the early days, as 72.5 p.c of covid associated deaths in San Francisco are amongst these aged 70 and above.
The shortage of dependable an infection quantity information makes R Quantity estimates very unsure. Covid R Estimation on Could 20 estimated the San Francisco R Quantity had dropped a bit to 1.48 whereas the estimate for the California R Quantity remained 1.57 on Could 23. The ensemble, as of Could 22, raised its estimate of the San Francisco R Quantity to 1.12 and raised its California R Quantity to 1.03. Notice: Just one mannequin exhibits SF beneath 1 at .91.
In Could, San Franciscans aged 0-4 years had 376 recorded infections or 4.2 p.c of the recorded infections thus far this month; 5-11 380 infections or 4.3 p.c; 12-17 323 infections or 3.6 p.c; 18-20 190 infections or 2.1 p.c; 21-24 522 infections or 5.8 p.c; 25-29 1,105 infections or 12.4 p.c; 30-39 2,133 infections or 23.9 p.c; 40-49 1,379 infections or 15.4 p.c; 50-59 1,153 infections or 12.9 p.c; 60-69 760 infections or 8.5 p.c; 70-79 401 infections or 4.5 p.c; and people San Franciscans aged 80 and above had 207 infections or 2.3 p.c of the infections recorded thus far in Could.